Luis Severino
30-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
2-2
ERA
3.00
WHIP
1.20
K
41
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hopes were high for Severino as he was another year removed from Tommy John surgery and he pitched very well in 2022, albeit only 89.1 innings after losing over two months with a lat injury. Things got off to an ominous start as he was felled by another lat injury in the spring. For the second time in a year, what was expected to be a quick recovery lingered, delaying Severino's 2023 debut until late May. He pitched well initially, but then things fell apart. On several occasions, Severino's starting role was in jeopardy, but the Yankees were forced to keep him in their injury-depleted rotation. His season mercifully ended in early September with a high-grade oblique strain. Severino's 6.65 ERA was pegged as unlucky by the associated 4.83 xFIP and 4.78 SIERA but the estimators are still well above league average. Severino's velocity was at his usual level, but his changeup wasn't nearly as effective, allowing batters to sit on, and crush his four-seam fastball. This seems correctable, but durability remains an issue. He signed with the Mets on a one-year, $13 million deal, which is about as good of a landing spot as fantasy managers could have hoped for. New York is a competitive team with a spacious home park and both he and the team will be highly incentivized to make this season a success. Read Past Outlooks
Issues six walks
Severino didn't factor into the decision Sunday, allowing four runs on four hits with six walks across five innings against the Rays. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Despite yielding just four hits, Severino gave up a season-high four earned runs Sunday. His struggles stemmed from a lack of command, as he doled out out a career-high six walks, with two of those batters coming around to score. Still, Severino's ERA sits at 2.93 through 40 innings. He's lined up for a start Saturday against Atlanta, which is a tough matchup for a bounce-back.
Despite yielding just four hits, Severino gave up a season-high four earned runs Sunday. His struggles stemmed from a lack of command, as he doled out out a career-high six walks, with two of those batters coming around to score. Still, Severino's ERA sits at 2.93 through 40 innings. He's lined up for a start Saturday against Atlanta, which is a tough matchup for a bounce-back.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
95
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Luis Severino generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Luis Severino generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-11%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .255 | 87 | 34 | 108 | 20 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .229 | 145 | 50 | 111 | 20 | |||
2024vs Left | .192 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 1 | |||
2024vs Right | .216 | 22 | 13 | 19 | 2 | |||
2023vs Left | .333 | 34 | 17 | 61 | 11 | |||
2023vs Right | .271 | 45 | 17 | 52 | 12 | |||
2022vs Left | .196 | 34 | 10 | 32 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .195 | 78 | 20 | 40 | 6 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-36%
ERA at Home
2024
-52%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.49 | 1.18 | 121.1 | 8.9 | 2.9 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.48 | 1.39 | 115.0 | 8.8 | 3.5 | ||||
2024Home | 2.17 | 1.17 | 29.0 | 7.1 | 3.7 | ||||
2024Away | 4.50 | 1.25 | 16.0 | 10.1 | 4.5 | ||||
2023Home | 4.87 | 1.33 | 40.2 | 7.5 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Away | 8.14 | 1.91 | 48.2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | ||||
2022Home | 3.14 | 1.06 | 51.2 | 11.0 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.22 | 0.93 | 50.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Luis Severino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.18K/9
8.3BB/9
3.8HR/9
0.5Fastball
95.8 mphERA
2.93WHIP
1.18BABIP
.270GB/FB
1.85Left On Base
65.6%Exit Velocity
80.7 mphBarrels/BBE
1.6%Spin Rate
2164 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
20.6%Swinging Strike
10.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Eight clubs showing interest
Severino, who ended the season with an oblique injury, has already drawn interest from as many as eight teams, Brendan Kuty of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Kuty doesn't divulge the names of any of those clubs but says the Yankees "aren't believed to be one of them." As far as the oblique issue goes, Severino has resumed throwing and seems to have moved past the injury. The 29-year-old represents an interesting buy-low candidate for teams this winter after posting a 6.65 ERA in 2023 and dealing with multiple injury issues the last few years. Severino boasted a 3.39 ERA with 709 strikeouts over 638 career innings prior to 2023 and is one of the younger free-agent starting pitchers available.
Kuty doesn't divulge the names of any of those clubs but says the Yankees "aren't believed to be one of them." As far as the oblique issue goes, Severino has resumed throwing and seems to have moved past the injury. The 29-year-old represents an interesting buy-low candidate for teams this winter after posting a 6.65 ERA in 2023 and dealing with multiple injury issues the last few years. Severino boasted a 3.39 ERA with 709 strikeouts over 638 career innings prior to 2023 and is one of the younger free-agent starting pitchers available.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Severino experienced arm soreness so the Yankees initially took it easy on the Tommy John recoveree, but it wasn't long before Severino was up to speed. He posted a 3.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 95 punchouts in 86 innings through July 13, but then a lat injury sent Severino to the 60-day IL. He returned for three starts in September, registering a 1.69 ERA and .63 WHIP with 17 strikeouts in 16 frames. Including rehab and playoffs, Severino logged 123.1 innings, so he shouldn't be under too much of a restriction, likely nothing more than a few maintenance days. Severino's 27.7% strikeout rate was lower than pre-TJS while his 7.4% walk rate was a little high, as was his home run rate. His 96.3-mph fastball was down a tick, but when he came back in September, Severino was throwing 97-98 mph. There is risk, but Severino can post SP1 numbers, albeit with fewer innings, drafted much later than the staff anchors.
More Fantasy News
Shuts down Cubs
Severino didn't factor into the decision Monday, allowing one run on one hit and two walks over eight innings against the Cubs. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Little run support in loss
Severino (2-2) took the loss Tuesday against the Giants, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out five over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp against Bucs on Wednesday
Severino (2-1) picked up the win Wednesday in a 9-1 victory over the Pirates, allowing one unearned run on five hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Effectively wild in first win
Severino (1-1) picked up the win Friday, allowing one run on one hit and four walks over five innings in a 6-1 victory over the Royals. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out seven in no-decision
Severino was charged with two runs (one earned) on three hits and two walks over five innings in a no-decision against the Reds on Saturday. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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