Chris Paddack
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
4-1
ERA
4.34
WHIP
1.50
K
37
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Paddack returned in late September from May 2022 Tommy John surgery (his second) and had perhaps the best stretch of his career in the postseason as a reliever and will be counted on as a starting pitcher in 2024. Paddack threw just five innings in the regular season but had eight strikeouts and just one walk, averaging a career-high 95.3 mph fastball. He reached 99 mph with his fastest pitch. He then threw 3.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs with six strikeouts and no walks. The Twins hope it's a sign he can return to his 2019 form when he had a 3.33 ERA and 26.9% strikeout rate for the Padres. At his peak, Paddack has good command and a plus change-up to keep hitters off balance. His innings may be limited in his first full season back from Tommy John surgery, however. Read Past Outlooks
Fans 10 for fourth win
Paddack (4-1) earned the win over the Mariners on Wednesday, allowing one run on eight hits and one walk while striking out 10 over 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
Paddack did a great job of mixing in off-speed pitches with his four-seamer early, which led to him striking out eight of the first 14 batters he faced. He would eventually surrender a solo home run to Mitch Garver in the fourth and actually allowed the leadoff man to reach in the fifth and sixth innings, but the right-hander was able to work his way through it and earn his fourth consecutive win. Paddack also matched his season high with 10 strikeouts in the contest and currently holds a 0.70 ERA in May to go along with a 16:2 K:BB. On the downside, he's also allowed eight or more hits in three of his last five outings.
Paddack did a great job of mixing in off-speed pitches with his four-seamer early, which led to him striking out eight of the first 14 batters he faced. He would eventually surrender a solo home run to Mitch Garver in the fourth and actually allowed the leadoff man to reach in the fifth and sixth innings, but the right-hander was able to work his way through it and earn his fourth consecutive win. Paddack also matched his season high with 10 strikeouts in the contest and currently holds a 0.70 ERA in May to go along with a 16:2 K:BB. On the downside, he's also allowed eight or more hits in three of his last five outings.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Chris Paddack generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Chris Paddack generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2024
-23%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .333 | 26 | 5 | 39 | 3 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .268 | 39 | 6 | 40 | 4 | |||
2024vs Left | .346 | 15 | 5 | 27 | 2 | |||
2024vs Right | .266 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 4 | |||
2023vs Left | .200 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |||
2023vs Right | .313 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | |||
2022vs Left | .324 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 0 | |||
2022vs Right | .259 | 12 | 2 | 14 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-46%
ERA at Home
2024
-88%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.16 | 1.30 | 37.0 | 11.7 | 1.5 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 5.86 | 1.52 | 27.2 | 5.5 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Home | 1.17 | 1.13 | 23.0 | 12.1 | 1.6 | ||||
2024Away | 9.42 | 2.09 | 14.1 | 3.8 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Home | 13.50 | 2.50 | 2.0 | 18.0 | 4.5 | ||||
2023Away | 0.00 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 | ||||
2022Home | 5.25 | 1.42 | 12.0 | 9.8 | 0.8 | ||||
2022Away | 2.61 | 0.97 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 0.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Chris Paddack compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.63K/9
8.9BB/9
1.9HR/9
1.4Fastball
93.8 mphERA
4.34WHIP
1.50BABIP
.381GB/FB
1.41Left On Base
79.8%Exit Velocity
80.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.4%Spin Rate
2085 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.8%Swinging Strike
12.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could head to Minnesota
According to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, the Twins are attempting to acquire Paddack from the Padres.
ANALYSIS
The Twins significantly bolstered their rotation in recent weeks with the acquisition of Sonny Gray and signing of Chris Archer, and the club is now attempting to add Paddack to the mix. Much like Archer, Paddack hasn't trended in the right direction of late with a 5.07 ERA over 108.1 innings last season, but he delivered an impressive rookie campaign in 2019 with a 3.33 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 153:31 K:BB across 140.2 frames. On the flip side, the Friars are interested in trading for Minnesota reliever Taylor Rogers, per Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune. Rogers is expected to be the primary option for the Twins' saves this year if he stays put, though he could have the same exact role in San Diego.
The Twins significantly bolstered their rotation in recent weeks with the acquisition of Sonny Gray and signing of Chris Archer, and the club is now attempting to add Paddack to the mix. Much like Archer, Paddack hasn't trended in the right direction of late with a 5.07 ERA over 108.1 innings last season, but he delivered an impressive rookie campaign in 2019 with a 3.33 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 153:31 K:BB across 140.2 frames. On the flip side, the Friars are interested in trading for Minnesota reliever Taylor Rogers, per Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune. Rogers is expected to be the primary option for the Twins' saves this year if he stays put, though he could have the same exact role in San Diego.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2017
Paddack had a tantalizing rookie season in 2019, but hit some bumps in 2020 and struggled in 2021. Minnesota traded for him before last season believing they could turn him around. After a promising five starts (4.03 ERA and 1.72 FIP), Paddack suffered an elbow injury and required Tommy John surgery for the second time (also in 2017). He could return in the second half of the 2023 season, but may need some time to regain his command. With two elbow surgeries and a downward trend to his career before the trade to the Twins, it's not certain he'll be part of a MLB rotation again.
More Fantasy News
Wins third straight
Paddack (3-1) yielded two hits and a walk over six shutout frames Friday, striking out six and earning a win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Gets ugly win
Paddack (2-1) earned the win Saturday, allowing four runs on eight hits and one walk over five innings against the Angels. He struck out two. His average fastball declined two mph from his average during the start, the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shuts down White Sox
Paddack (1-1) allowed six hits over seven shutout innings Monday, striking out 10 and earning a win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard in Baltimore
Paddack (0-1) took the loss Tuesday against the Orioles, allowing nine runs on 12 hits and a walk over 5.1 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Goes 4.2 innings vs. Dodgers
Paddack didn't factor into the decision Wednesday against the Dodgers, allowing two runs on six hits and two walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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